Citrini Research Gloom Scenario: AI Will Devalue Everything from Human Intelligence to Human Relationships
Not so much the tariff thing. The 800+ plunge on the stock market primarily had been generated by a Substack post by Citrini Research. Running 7,000 words it sketched out a hypothetical in which the bullishness about AI is so on the money that it destroys the money. As AI quickly moves along in improvements it wipes out just about everything from the historic value of human intelligence to the commercial and personal value of human relationships. Here's a snippet: "It should have been clear all along that a single GPU cluster in North Dakota generating the output previously attributed to 10,000 white-collar workers in midtown Manhattan is more economic pandemic than economic panacea. The velocity of money flatlined. The human-centric consumer economy, 70% of GDP at the time, withered. We probably could have figured this out sooner if we just asked how much money machines spend on discretionary goods. (Hint: it’s zero.)" And all this could possibly kick in by 2028. The...