The Barbarians Have Been Crossing the Moats to Plunder the Castles: IBM, US Big Law, Disney and More
It was investment-guidance god Warren Buffett who hammered that a business needs an "economic moat." That is, the unique competitive advantage that impedes entry into their force field. Good advice, at least until recently when so much disruption has made many of those moats fragile. Castles are being plundered. Classic is IBM's. Today the stock closed at $212.67, down from the 52-week high of $332.46. Barron's directly addresses the weakening of the moat: "[Anthropic's] COBOL modernization ... for its Claude Code tool ... could dramatically streamline updates to the outdated programming language that runs on IBM mainframes ... the immense complexity and cost of migrating off these systems protected IBM’s highly profitable mainframe business ..." Going, then gone could be that moat protection. No surprise then that Stefan Stolinski, BNP Paribas analyst, warns against buying IBM on the dip. He doesn't estimate too much organic growth for IBM. Th...