JD Vance Could Do "A Biden" and Step Down
" ... the rule [Rule 9] explicitly applies to a scenario in which Vance voluntarily steps aside ..." - Business Insider, July 26, 2024
Proven-out political strategist James Carville warns post-Biden Dems not to be giddy about Kamela Harris' early success. It will be a tough fight with a close finish, he predicts. I believe that.
The fight could get a lots tougher and give high-profile supporters ranging from the Obamas who are now in to well-connected fundraiser Paul, Weiss chair Brad Karp agita if Donald Trump banishes JD Vance from the ticket.
The one-time wonderboy with the once-useful narrative of a hardscrabble background quickly became a liability.
The tragic flaw seems to be the inability to, as we say in communications and coaching, "size up the room." America, for example, was not receptive to have women who didn't reproduce put into a penalty box.
Also, with DEI dying, the poor-boy saga no longer plays well. Instead the attention shifts to a question: So what have you accomplished? Research is showing that Vance's adult track record in terms of achievement isn't all great, including his stint in venture capital. What has he done for Ohio? The polling about Ohio and other midwest states is dismal. For example, the CNN/SSRS found a 28 approval rate, with a 44 disapproval one.
Trump is known for firing. He could take that step, again. It could be positioned and packaged as Vance "doing a Biden," that is, announcing that he is stepping down. His brand, of course, would have to be reset.
If Vance is wise, and that does not seem to be the case, he will create a new persona - one of extreme service. Vance 2.0 could "do a Jimmy Carter" following the disgrace of being assessed negatively as a president and going down as a one-termer.
Full Discloser: I am registered as an Independent. Many of us, I have found out in conversations, are on the fence about our vote.
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