Citrini Research Gloom Scenario: AI Will Devalue Everything from Human Intelligence to Human Relationships

 Not so much the tariff thing. The 800+ plunge on the stock market primarily had been generated by a Substack post by Citrini Research.

Running 7,000 words it sketched out a hypothetical in which the bullishness about AI is so on the money that it destroys the money. As AI quickly moves along in improvements it wipes out just about everything from the historic value of human intelligence to the commercial and personal value of human relationships. 

Here's a snippet:

"It should have been clear all along that a single GPU cluster in North Dakota generating the output previously attributed to 10,000 white-collar workers in midtown Manhattan is more economic pandemic than economic panacea. The velocity of money flatlined. The human-centric consumer economy, 70% of GDP at the time, withered. We probably could have figured this out sooner if we just asked how much money machines spend on discretionary goods. (Hint: it’s zero.)"

And all this could possibly kick in by 2028. 

The investment community took note. The Wall Street Journal reports: 

"Many of Monday’s [plunging downward] moves roughly aligned with the situation outlined by Citrini, in which fast-advancing AI tools allow spending cuts across industries, sparking mass white-collar unemployment and in turn leading to financial contagion." 

Few sectors were immune from the panic. That's because some of this is already happening. Take the devaluation of human intelligence. My post on just this is getting plenty of attention. It spells out how dazzling potential employers with your mighty mind and store of knowledge and even big wins could result in your never working again. Think about it: The smart move may be to conceal some of that brain power in job-search materials and interviews. Leave that kind of cognitive heavy lifting to the machine. Figure out: What else do employers need?

Those brilliant strategists in Big Law, finance and management consulting could also become of low value. 

A corporation has an urgent high-stakes legal issue. Its in-house team feeds a range of strategies into AI. They call in one partner from a major law firm. Next, together, they test several out given a range of opposing counsels, venues, judges and types of juries. It will only take a handful of human lawyers to implement that in an actual courtroom. Incidentally in an interview with Lawyer Monthly last March Paul, Weiss' Brad Karp had been predicting not only fewer entry-level slots for junior lawyers but also ramped-up hiring of technologists and data scientists.

In coaching I warn job searchers to dig for what the employer really is looking for. All they might need and be willing to pay for is for oversight in implementing AI, including doing course correction.

Success is a mental game. Failure comes from being done in by the “committee” in your head.

Together, we liberate your thinking. Then we change your story. And, unleash success. Meanwhile, we focus on bringing in income. That puts you in a position of strength.

Intuitive Coaching. Special expertise with transitions, becoming a solopreneur and aging. Psychic/tarot readings, upon request. Complimentary consultation with Jane Genova (Text 203-468-8579, janegenova374@gmail.com). Yes, test out the chemistry. Zero risk.

Don’t give up before the miracle.

 


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